Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.009250 0.010949 0.013007 0.015729 0.019302 0.023936 0.030579
2025-08-10 0.006878 0.008773 0.011336 0.015191 0.021112 0.030388 0.047304
2025-08-17 0.005507 0.007339 0.009984 0.014304 0.021685 0.034980 0.064552
2025-08-24 0.004647 0.006391 0.009033 0.013624 0.022166 0.039486 0.085880
2025-08-31 0.004215 0.005974 0.008770 0.013944 0.024476 0.048871 0.131292
2025-09-07 0.003758 0.005441 0.008204 0.013560 0.025222 0.055273 0.180156
2025-09-14 0.003364 0.004951 0.007625 0.013000 0.025377 0.060341 0.237419
2025-09-21 0.003116 0.004667 0.007357 0.012988 0.026808 0.070421 0.358901
2025-09-28 0.002979 0.004553 0.007373 0.013563 0.029981 0.089765 0.683819
2025-10-05 0.002924 0.004571 0.007633 0.014743 0.035476 0.126734 1.959093
2025-10-12 0.002801 0.004452 0.007608 0.015250 0.039266 0.163708 6.157055
2025-10-19 0.002633 0.004230 0.007342 0.015100 0.040805 0.191565 20.225326
2025-10-26 0.002475 0.004032 0.007132 0.015149 0.043583 0.241481 630.006620
2025-11-02 0.002291 0.003765 0.006748 0.014658 0.044109 0.277843 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002102 0.003473 0.006274 0.013814 0.042740 0.292662 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001947 0.003236 0.005895 0.013166 0.041973 0.315835 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001873 0.003151 0.005843 0.013472 0.045952 0.435453 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001763 0.002986 0.005589 0.013104 0.046391 0.504892 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001654 0.002813 0.005299 0.012571 0.045681 0.551299 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001584 0.002716 0.005180 0.012559 0.047981 0.716384 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001551 0.002691 0.005226 0.013108 0.054252 1.197376 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001546 0.002725 0.005421 0.014233 0.066022 2.961206 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001509 0.002688 0.005434 0.014716 0.074045 6.575702 NaN